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Trading Fever

November 1, 2017

 

Everyone loves trades in the NFl. It's akin to a weird combination of Christmas and a nasty breakup for the fans. You have moments of greatness like when the Eagles traded up to the No 2 pick in the 2016 for newly anointed QB God Carson Wentz, but there are moments of sadness like when the Bucs traded away Steve Young to the Niners and lost out on a future HOF QB. Overall, trades are great for an unexpected shakeup of the norm within a NFL season. 

 

Suffice to say, trades don't always work out that way for our unsuspecting fantasy rosters. 

 

As an Eagles fan, I love the Jay Ajayi trade. As a fantasy owner, I wouldn't be jumping through the roof yet. Yes, he is going to a much better team with a better O-line, QB, and well...everything. Yes, he will be most likely featured since the Eagles wouldn't make such a deal to just run a 50/50 split. No, you shouldn't go out to trade for him. 

 

We need to remember what Ajayi is. Fair or no, bad line play or, no we have to look at the facts. Between the 2016 season and the present, Ajayi has six games with more than 80 yards rushing (and yes three of those include those 200 yard games) and in all of them he needed around 25+ carries to achieve those feats (the Eagles have not given a single rusher more than sixteen carries in a game this entire year). For the majority of his fantasy career, Ajayi is an RB2 that is touchdown dependent and I don't see that changing with this move. 

 

LeGarrette Blount won't be going anyway as of yet and that just seems to spell TOUCHDOWN VULTURE. Thus, there will be some sort of split we just don't know what kind it will be and we won't know for a few weeks at that. 

 

Granted, with all that said if you can get him for the right price go for it. Every year there is a late season breakout that leads people into fantasy glory, and with this deal it may just be Ajayi. Just be sure to temper all expectation. 

 

Now for Kelvin Benjamin

 

Well that one no on saw coming. At least the Ajayi deal made sense because of the offensive struggles, but Kelvin wow that was a blindside. 

 

Will this be an upgrade? From an analytical point of view, it doesn't seem like it at first, but it truly is. 

 

Kelvin has been a solid WR2 when healthy due to his frame allowing his to be a great redzone option (nine touchdowns since 2016). This is where a great NFL trade improves our fantasy team in the long run. Despite the narrative of Kelvin largely being a possession WR, he has shown on multiple occasions a pension for getting deep balls, and Tyrod Taylor likes to air it deep when able. Buffalo has been in desperate need for a No. 1 WR for a couple years and Kelvin provides that answer. 

 

Despite the recent appearance that Tyrod Taylor only likes throwing to Shady McCoy and the TE, just call back to 2015 when Sammy Watkins in his final nine games had five games with 100+ yards receiving and seven touchdowns. During that time, Watkins was a legitimate WR1. I'm not saying that Kelvin will be that good immediately, but look for that kind production during the second half of the season as the Bills look to improve their 29th ranked passing offense. 

 

If you have specific lineup or roster questions feel free to submit a question via the "Submit a Question" button on our home page and we'll be sure to share our opinion. Also don't forget to check out our weekly position rankings!

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