December 13, 2017

December 13, 2017

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Playoff Downers: Avoid these Players

November 10, 2017

Every year we have players who perform well throughout the year and then completely wet the bed for the most important part of the season: Fantasy Playoffs. I'm going to cover some guys that I would be weary of starting in weeks 14-16. Keep in mind, just because your player appears on this list that doesn't mean you sell low or bench this player for a waiver wire streamer. If you have specific lineup or roster questions feel free to submit a question via the "Submit a Question"  button on our home page and we'll be sure to share our opinion. Also don't forget to check out our weekly position rankings! 

 

note: Values used are from .5 ppr leagues and fantasy points against rankings are from Yahoo Fantasy Football. 

 

Wide Receivers

 

Deandre Hopkins

 

Deandre Hopkins has surprised many this season. After 9 weeks of football, he is currently sitting as the #1 fantasy wide receiver. After last seasons debacle with Brock Osweiler, fantasy experts and fans alike were down on Hopkins. We all knew the talent but didn't like the QB situation with Tom Savage. Thanks to the historical breakout from rookie sensation Deshaun Watson, Hopkins has been the best receiver in fantasy: 12 points ahead of his nearest competitor Antonio Brown.  Unfortunately, Watson is now on IR and will have to play with Tom Savage at QB. Couple this with the fact that Hopkins has a tough playoff schedule and he becomes a major avoid.

 

Week 14: vs SF (14th)

Week 15: @ Jax (32nd)

Week 16: vs Pit (31st)

 

Recommendation: Sell High -  Yes, everyone knows Watson is gone and you won't be able to get Antonio Brown or Leonard Fournette straight up. However, you should package for one of these stars or swap for an upgrade with a favorable playoff schedule, lets say, Alshon Jeffery (Find more in our playoff targets article).  

 

T.Y. Hilton

 

Hilton currently sits at the #4 spot for WR fantasy points. I'm sorry to say this but the success won't last very long. The rest of season schedule for Colts WRs is brutal. In addition, around 70% of T.Y.'s production has come from just 3 games. It's no surprise these blow up games came against soft defenses(Cle, SF, & Hou). Unfortunately, for those invested in the Colts, none of these easy match-ups remain on the schedule. 

 

Week 14: @ Buf (21st)

Week 15: vs Den (29th)

Week 16: @ Bal (30th)

 

Recommendation: Sell High - Prior to this Sunday's game will be the last chance Hilton owners have to sell high as he faces the Steelers stout secondary followed by a bye the subsequent week. Everyone knows T.Y. is an elite WR and the 175 yd 2 TD game is still fresh in our memories. Use this and the fact that Jacoby Brissett has been improving as points to sell Hilton. With how brutal the upcoming schedule is, I would sell for whatever asset you can get even if its just for Kicker Greg Zuerlien or Jags DST.

 

 

Running Backs

 

Todd Gurley

 

Coming into this season Todd Gurley definitely had his truthers, however, a chunk of the fantasy community was very low on him. Some questioned if Gurley actually possessed the ability which got him drafted in the top 10 just 2 years ago. Many others were worried if the Rams offense would be able to move the ball period after coming last in the NFL in both yards and points scored just a year prior.

 

Fast forward to a few weeks into this season and it became apparent that new head coach Sean McVay was no fluke with the Redskins and with proper coaching Jared Goff could fulfill his potential as the #1 overall draft pick. Additionally, Gurley has shown he still posses those elite running skills that made him the highest drafted RB since the 2012 draft. What appeared to be a lose-lose when it came to skill and team competence respectively, has actually been a win-win and fantasy owners who believed in him have been cashing in all season long. Nonetheless, the upcoming schedule, including the fantasy playoffs, is quite tough and could even affect a stud like Todd Gurley. 

 

Week 14: vs Phi (29th)

Week 15: @ Sea (27th)

Week 16: @ Ten (20th)   

 

Recommendation: Sell High - Todd Gurley has only scored under 15 fantasy points only twice this year: Week 5 vs Seattle(4 pts) and Week 6 @ Jax(12 pts). Unfortunately, not only were these 2 of the toughest run defenses he as faced but he also has to face the Seahawks yet again in Seattle during week 15. Yes, Gurley is a stud and I recommend you swap him for another stud(and nothing less) with a more favorable schedule. For example try targeting Leonard Fournette, Leveon Bell, or Lesean Mccoy.   

 

Carlos Hyde

 

Throughout his career, Carlos Hyde has shown that he's a powerful runner capable of big fantasy outings. Even though he's displayed so much potential his inability to stay on the field over the years had fantasy owners hesitant to spend an early draft pick on him. Now its week 10 and Hyde has not only stayed healthy but also been great for his ADP coming in as the #7 fantasy RB (even with being a part of the 0-9 49ers). Hyde has only put up a couple of duds, but when you look at the schedule, you could easily see him with a couple more in the fantasy playoffs due to the tough match-ups. 

 

Week 14: @ Hou (32nd)

Week 15: vs Ten (20th)

Week 16: vs Jax (22nd)

 

Recommendation: Sell High/Hold - Hyde is just outside the cusp of the elite RBs, so you won't be able to just swap him for another top option at the position. I'd recommend packaging for a Leveon/Fournette type back. If you have RB depth, you could try to trade him to strengthen another position you are weak at. If you don't have the rare luxury of RB depth, I'd hold and ride Hyde. 

 

 

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