December 13, 2017

December 13, 2017

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Snap Count Perceptions: Week 11

November 23, 2017

 

 

In terms of fantasy, there's more to look at than just the final point total. Beyond the number of catches and yards, lies a more important factor that needs to come into consideration. Before going for the dreaded curse of chasing points week in and out, instead focus on the metrics that translate into consistent fantasy play: snap count percentage. 

 

*Note: All snap count percentages are gathered from Profootball reference.

 

Patriots' Running Backs

 

Dion Lewis (43.3%)| Rex Burkhead (31.7 %)| James White (28.3%)

 

I hope all of you took a chance to notice that Mike Gillislee's name is absent from this list. In the last two games, Gillislee has managed to accumulate a grand total of 0 snaps. While this may not be a revelation to some, the lesson learned is to notice the preceding decline in snap counts he showed and to have dropped him much early instead of wasting a roster space. 

 

Dion Lewis is still the main back that you want on your team, but don't forget about Rex Burkhead. Since becoming healthy once more, he has maintained a third of the RB snap counts for the third week in a row and I estimate his role in the offense continuing to grow. All it takes is one injury or a lost fumble to open the doors wide open for Burkhead so stash him for insurance. 

 

Eagles' Running Backs

 

Jay Ajayi (20.3%) | Legarrette Blount (46.9%) | Corey Clement (29.7%)

 

There's always one running back committee that fantasy owners hate over all others in every year. This year that trophy goes to the Philly backfield. Unpredictability is the sad word in play here. Despite the majority of touches procured by Blount, he was the least effective back in terms of fantasy points. Kenjon Barner only played a couple of snaps and even he found a way to outproduce the leading carrier on the Eagles. Hopefully, the carries will trend more to Ajayi's direction in the coming weeks, or it may be best to just start the most explosive back in the group: Corey Clement. 

 

Ravens' Running Backs 

 

Javorius Allen (16.9%)| Danny Woodhead (22%) | Alex Collins (64.4%)

 

The once murky Ravens backfield has begun to clear up a bit with the confidence in Alex Collins growing every week. While the Sun has set on Buck Allen as a starter, it may be rising for Danny Woodhead. Taking over the Buck Allen role as a pass catcher, Woodhead's versatility will no doubt earn him more touches. How many? Unlike this past week, don't expect the Baltimore offense to be up 20+ points for the rest of the year, so look for Woodhead's snap count to increase as they get in more passing situations. 

 

Broncos' Running Backs

 

CJ Anderson (35.8%) | Devontae Booker (59.3%) | Jamal Charles (4.9%) 

 

This is why you want to pay attention to the snap count by each player on the field. Relying on his first Touchdown since week 2 to boost his ratings, the fact that CJ Anderson was subtly was out snapped by Devontae Booker may come as a surprise for those that didn't watch the game. Producing as both a runner and a pass catcher, Booker may be an additional spark the Denver offense will turn to in light of the firing of OC Mike McCoy. Keep in mind that the current front office under John Elway did not draft Anderson. He was an undrafted free agent they brought into camp, so it would not be beyond reason for them to start leaning towards their 2016 draft pick. 

 

Cowboys' Running Backs

 

Alfred Morris (39.7%) | Rod Smith (47.6) 

 

This one can be a tad misleading. Despite that fact that Smith led the team in snaps from the RB position, it was Morris that handled the rushing duties with a 17 carry, 91 yard performance. It seems clear that Morris will continue to be the lead back in the absence of Elliot, but it's still a smart move to keep a spot on your bench for Smith just in case something were to befall Morris or the Cowboys shifted their mindset.  

 

If you have specific lineup or roster questions feel free to submit a question via the "Submit a Question"  button on our home page and we'll be sure to share our opinion. Also don't forget to check out our weekly position rankings! (Rankings are up by Wednesdays)

 

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