December 13, 2017

December 13, 2017

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Week 13: Desperation Flex Plays

December 1, 2017

Fantasy football never goes as planned. Throughout the season owners are continuously thrown curve balls. Whether its due to injury or benching fantasy owners are continuously put into tough situations. This year we've lost fantasy studs such as Odell Beckham Jr. and David Johnson as well as budding stars like Dalvin Cook and Deshaun Watson. The decline of every week starters has led fantasy owners to take shots in the dark in  order to keep their seasons alive. It's now week 13, the final regular season game for most leagues, and some owners may need to make a desperate play to secure a spot in the fantasy playoffs. Here are some desperation flex plays for those of you in a tight situation:

 

 

Marquise Goodwin @ CHI (29% owned on Yahoo)

 

Marquise Goodwin has been the definition of boom or bust this year. He's never had more than 5 receptions in a game and even dropped a goose egg against the Eagles a few weeks ago. However, he's shown big play ability and has posted 7 or more fantasy points in 6 games this season in .5 ppr leagues. He showed that big play potential three weeks ago where his only reception went for 83 yards and a touchdown. Last week, with C.J. Beathard, Goodwin led receivers in targets, receptions, and yards going 4 for 78 yds. This week Goodwin will get Jimmy Garappolo at QB who many consider to be an upgrade. Garappolo played well while filling in for Tom Brady last year and has shown flashes of top level quarterback play. Defenses have no tape on Garappolo running Kyle Shannahans offense and he could come out and dominate in first start with the team.

 

According to Yahoo, the Chicago Bears give up the 13th most points to QBs. The plus match-up indicates a great possibility that 49er receivers post respectable fantasy numbers. I know some are high on Trent Taylor, however, the Bears have been playing very well against slot receivers, which is where Taylor has been taking the majority of his snaps. Most recently the Bears limited one of the best slot receivers in the league, Golden Tate, to 3 receptions for 32 yards. They also held 2017 breakout, Adam Theilen, to 34 yards earlier in the season. So, if you're in a dark place and need a desperation hail-mary at the flex spot I'd consider Marquise Goodwin this week. 

 

Kenny Golladay @ BAL (10% owned on Yahoo)

 

Kenny Golladay, drafted in the 3rd round of the 2017 draft, burst onto the scene posting 4 receptions for 69 yards and 2 touchdowns in his season debut. He then promptly put up back to back duds and then missed 5 subsequent games with a hamstring injury. In his 3 games back Golladay's gone 2 for 64 yds, 2 for 52 yds, and 2 for 61 yds, These numbers are not off the charts but that is three straight games of at least 50 yards. Additionally, upon his return he posted the 64 yards on only 11 snaps. Each game since then his snaps have increased and this past week he out-snapped TJ Jones 40 to 15. 

 

The match-up with Baltimore may seem daunting but this shouldn't scare you away from Golladay. The only respectable quarterbacks Baltimore has faced this year have been Ben Roethlisburger, Derek Carr, and surging Case Keenum. Don't get me wrong the Ravens have a great defense but the numbers have been slightly skewed to an extremely soft schedule. Baltimore does have a shut-down shadow corner in Jimmy Smith but he will be covering Marvin Jones in this one. According to Jareth Groves at fantasyfootballanalytics.blogspot.com, the Ravens are actually a top 11 positive match-up for the opposing teams WR2. With the up-tick in snaps across from Jones and Tate playing the slot this could be a great opportunity for Golladay. We saw Kenny Golladay's play making ability in the pre-season and week 1 and I wouldn't be surprised if this is the week he gets back into the end-zone. I would like to point out that I wouldn't do something crazy like sit Marvin Jones for Golladay because he is matched up against Jimmy Smith. Jones has shown he can make plays while being covered by elite corners. 

 

Dontrelle Inman vs SF (15% owned on Yahoo)

 

Dontrelle Inman has lead Bears receivers in receiving yards since joining the team in week 10. He's been a top target for rookie Mitchell Trubisky and logged 9 targets last week against Philadelphia. The 49ers are currently giving up the 14th most points to wide receivers making this a favorable match-up. The last time Inman had a favorable match-up he posted a respectable 6 receptions for 88 yards. I expect a similar yardage output from Trubisky's favorite target this week. The downside with Inman as compared to the others mentioned in this article is quarterback play and lack of touchdowns. Mitchell Trubisky is averaging just 162 passing yards per game which is one of the worst in the NFL this season. The Bears lack of a passing game definitely limits Inman's ceiling. However, I'm not too worried about the touchdowns as it only been 3 games. Being the number one target and go to guy for Trubisky just means the touchdowns are bound to come at some point. All in all Inman's been very consistent posting 11.8, 5.8, and 8.4 fantasy points in .5 ppr formats since joining the Bears. If you need to throw someone in your flex with a high floor then Dontrelle Inman is your guys this week.  

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